OHIO CONSUMER CONFIDENCE ROSE IN APRIL
COLUMBUS -- An April increase in the Ohio Consumer
Confidence Index indicates that the state's consumers are
satisfied with current and future economic prospects.
"It appears that consumers in Ohio have overcome last
month's jitters and focused again on the very positive conditions
in the present low-unemployment/low-inflation economy," said
Lucia Dunn, professor of economics at The Ohio State University.
The index rose 1 1/2 points to 104.6 in April. The March
value of 103.1 had represented a decline from its record-high
value of 106.7 in February.
Values over 100 in the index are considered evidence of
strong consumer confidence. The index is compiled monthly by
Ohio State's Survey Research Unit to gauge Ohioans' feelings
about the economy.
Dunn said the overall improvement in Ohio consumers'
confidence is at least partially attributable to continued low
inflation. Respondents' average expected rate of inflation for
the next year stood at a low 3.4 percent, she said.
In Ohio, most of the consumer confidence index improvement
in April appeared in the assessment of current economic
conditions; that index rose almost three points, from 114 in
March to 116.7 in April.
"It's noteworthy that for the second straight month,
consumer assessments of current economic conditions in Ohio
surpassed the assessments of consumers nationally," said Dunn,
referring to the national Index of Consumer Sentiment compiled by
the University of Michigan. In April, the national index of
consumers' assessments of their current economic conditions stood
at 115.5.
The index of Ohio consumers' one-year expectations for their
own financial situations and one- and five-year expectations for
national business conditions rose just .7 percent, from 96.1 in
March to 96.8. This expectations component of consumer attitudes
in Ohio still lags behind the national level.
"Consumer attitudes continued to improve with regard to
current personal condition and the short-term national outlook,"
Dunn said. "But consumers have grown more cautious about
projecting good times further into the future."
Consumers showed gains in positive responses to questions
about current personal finances compared to one year ago: 53.6
percent said their finances have improved in the past year,
compared to 46.3 percent who responded similarly in April 1997.
Consumers also showed higher expectations of national business
conditions.
Dunn said a favorable price environment is a factor in the
70.7 percent of respondents who said now is a good time to make
major purchases, compared to 69.6 percent in March and 62.3
percent who responded positively about major purchases a year
ago.
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Contact: Lucia Dunn, (614) 292-8071
Written by Emily Caldwell, (614) 292-8309